Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 77.057209 86.497138 96.137231 106.686566 117.875404 129.359816 142.009654
2025-07-27 61.706253 75.220826 89.639061 106.036649 124.045221 143.108523 164.703939
2025-08-03 52.120839 67.773223 85.036475 105.222447 127.930372 152.463858 180.758598
2025-08-10 45.587905 62.823977 82.396622 105.824549 132.699437 162.206896 196.711509
2025-08-17 39.600483 57.813831 79.090021 105.119920 135.513445 169.363797 209.423635
2025-08-24 35.105433 54.126409 76.935521 105.391206 139.133022 177.171442 222.640459
2025-08-31 30.609412 50.008443 73.911611 104.322362 140.930018 182.682487 233.064952
2025-09-07 27.820700 47.819169 73.041976 105.658699 145.405515 191.161561 246.787441
2025-09-14 25.519280 46.062774 72.549934 107.318388 150.157305 199.881468 260.727414
2025-09-21 22.468366 43.013536 70.198635 106.499621 151.783277 204.826148 270.197518
2025-09-28 19.237540 39.414879 66.903629 104.301001 151.570652 207.470916 276.874218
2025-10-05 18.530542 39.443108 68.394855 108.178337 158.813941 218.992783 293.992906
2025-10-12 17.244333 38.518436 68.564350 110.356584 163.993452 228.116575 308.392044
2025-10-19 15.219035 36.269411 66.789307 109.906696 165.826827 233.172141 317.949578
2025-10-26 13.279134 33.958746 64.786529 109.041507 167.046581 237.415335 326.484067
2025-11-02 11.950228 32.527871 63.947888 109.661567 170.101598 243.861389 337.634406
2025-11-09 10.398339 30.541229 62.185126 108.941402 171.371838 248.069788 346.056791
2025-11-16 9.243725 29.136045 61.198539 109.218478 173.882032 253.774996 356.266775
2025-11-23 7.894378 27.192764 59.286248 108.127309 174.547510 257.147023 363.611729
2025-11-30 7.193027 26.434999 59.151445 109.491519 178.408612 264.488496 375.788257
2025-12-07 6.615111 25.861428 59.267258 111.185613 182.691249 272.353259 388.608495
2025-12-14 5.622425 24.259510 57.656601 110.349902 183.571785 275.913724 396.132876
2025-12-21 4.510821 22.176438 55.136707 108.105504 182.498071 276.954428 400.515855